May 9th, 2012
Sanctions Are Only a Stop-Gap: Iran is Negotiating, But That Isn’t Enough
Sanctions have succeeded in bringing Tehran back to the negotiating table, but they are a tactic, not a strategy. Any long-term policy has to aim for a democratic Iran.

Sanctions Are Only a Stop-Gap: Iran is Negotiating, But That Isn’t Enough

Sanctions have succeeded in bringing Tehran back to the negotiating table, but they are a tactic, not a strategy. Any long-term policy has to aim for a democratic Iran.

April 20th, 2012
Botching the Bomb: Why Nuclear Weapons Programs Often Fail on Their Own — and Why Iran’s Might, Too
(From the new issue, out next week.)
Nuclear weapons are hard to build for managerial reasons, not technical ones. This is why so few authoritarian regimes have succeeded: they don’t have the right culture or institutions. When it comes to Iran’s program, then, the United States and its allies should get out of the way and let Iran’s worst enemies — its own leaders — gum up the process on their own. Read the full article.

Botching the Bomb: Why Nuclear Weapons Programs Often Fail on Their Own — and Why Iran’s Might, Too

(From the new issue, out next week.)

Nuclear weapons are hard to build for managerial reasons, not technical ones. This is why so few authoritarian regimes have succeeded: they don’t have the right culture or institutions. When it comes to Iran’s program, then, the United States and its allies should get out of the way and let Iran’s worst enemies — its own leaders — gum up the process on their own. Read the full article.

April 13th, 2012
Iran and the United States Face Off in Turkey (What to Expect When You Are Expecting Iran to Go Nuclear)
This weekend’s nuclear negotiations will almost certainly reach a dead end. Even so, they will have been worthwhile. Without a good-faith diplomatic effort, Washington would find it harder to get other capitals on board with alternative approaches, including a military strike.

Iran and the United States Face Off in Turkey (What to Expect When You Are Expecting Iran to Go Nuclear)

This weekend’s nuclear negotiations will almost certainly reach a dead end. Even so, they will have been worthwhile. Without a good-faith diplomatic effort, Washington would find it harder to get other capitals on board with alternative approaches, including a military strike.

April 13th, 2012
Why North Korea Gets Away With It — Pyongyang’s Skillful Deterrence
Before North Korea conducted its latest missile test, President Barack Obama and other world leaders were condemning the regime for its act of aggression. But North Korea will inevitably go unpunished for this provocation — just as it has in the past. The country’s nuclear arsenal, potential for collapse, and reputation for unpredictability all keep its foes from retaliating. Full article.

Why North Korea Gets Away With It — Pyongyang’s Skillful Deterrence


Before North Korea conducted its latest missile test, President Barack Obama and other world leaders were condemning the regime for its act of aggression. But North Korea will inevitably go unpunished for this provocation — just as it has in the past. The country’s nuclear arsenal, potential for collapse, and reputation for unpredictability all keep its foes from retaliating. Full article.

April 4th, 2012
Why Israel Should Stop Worrying and Learn to Love the Bomb
The debate in Jerusalem about attacking Iran makes clear that Israel does not trust its “bomb in the basement” to do what nuclear weapons are best at doing: deterring their use by others. Embracing this capability would leave the country much safer.

Why Israel Should Stop Worrying and Learn to Love the Bomb

The debate in Jerusalem about attacking Iran makes clear that Israel does not trust its “bomb in the basement” to do what nuclear weapons are best at doing: deterring their use by others. Embracing this capability would leave the country much safer.

(Source: )

January 18th, 2012

The Iran Debate: To Strike or Not to Strike

The cases for, and against, a military attack against Iran to deter its nuclear program. Read the full collection.

(Source: )

December 22nd, 2011

Time to Attack Iran?

Opponents of military action against Iran assume a U.S. strike would be far more dangerous than simply letting Tehran build a bomb. Not so, argues this former Pentagon defense planner. With a carefully designed attack, could Washington  mitigate the costs and spare the region and the world from an unacceptable threat? Read the full article.

October 3rd, 2011

Crisis Guide - Iran

Announcing the Latest Installment in The Emmy-Award Winning Series From the Council on Foreign Relations: Crisis Guide - Iran

This interactive presentation traces Iran’s history, its evolution as an Islamic republic, and the controversial nuclear program.  It also offers an expert overview of the main policy options for dealing with Iran.   

Iran’s ambitions as a regional power, its links to groups considered terrorist organizations, and tensions within the Iranian regime pose a range of challenges to its neighbors and the world. Drawing on the insights of more than twenty-five leading analysts, government officials, and journalists, this interactive guide explores these challenges and offers a range of expert opinions on the policy options for addressing them. The guide also uses multimedia elements to trace the country’s history, examine its oil-driven economy, and survey its controversial nuclear program.

This guide is organized into seven chapters including a cinematic overview, photo timelines, followed by several chapters dedicated to overviews of certain aspects of Iran today, video discussions of the various policy options for dealing with the challenges posed by Iran, and lastly—a staple in every Crisis Guide—a thorough list of readings, primary source documents, and other resources for those looking to pursue further research.

(Source: fam.ag)

September 16th, 2010
For decades, Israel has maintained an “opaque” nuclear posture — neither confirming nor denying that it possesses nuclear weapons. The time has come for Israel to reconsider the policy of nuclear ambiguity. It can do so without jeopardizing the nation’s security. In “Bringing Israel’s Bomb Out of the Basement”, Avner Cohen and Marvin Miller discuss legitimizing Israel’s bomb.
Image via Reuters

For decades, Israel has maintained an “opaque” nuclear posture — neither confirming nor denying that it possesses nuclear weapons. The time has come for Israel to reconsider the policy of nuclear ambiguity. It can do so without jeopardizing the nation’s security. In “Bringing Israel’s Bomb Out of the Basement”, Avner Cohen and Marvin Miller discuss legitimizing Israel’s bomb.

Image via Reuters

September 1st, 2010

In our new Snapshot, Johan Bergenas refutes the nuclear domino theory in the Middle East.

Image via Reuters

In our new Snapshot, Johan Bergenas refutes the nuclear domino theory in the Middle East.

Image via Reuters

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